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China's graphite market is once again in a downturn
“Currently, the market price of spherical graphite and flake graphite has dropped and dropped, and our customer demand has also been reduced and reduced. Last year, the customer’s daily purchase volume was around 30 tons, but now it has dropped to 5-10 tons. We can only According to the customer's demand for production, the market is once again in a downturn, and the production of graphite enterprises is difficult.†Xiao Xiaole, head of the spherical graphite sales department of Heilongjiang Aoyu Graphite Group, called the reporter on October 30. The reporter learned that the recent price of spherical graphite has dropped from 20,000 yuan (ton price, the same below) in May this year to 19,000 yuan, compared with 22,000 to 23,000 yuan in the same period last year, down nearly 4,000 yuan. The price of flake graphite is currently only about 3,500 yuan, which is about 40% lower than the average price of 5,000 yuan last year. Some enterprises reduce inventory and produce according to customer demand; some enterprises try to produce products with high carbon content and good purpose. Even so, the production cycle of flake graphite companies has been reduced from 10 months in previous years to 9 months this year. There are two main reasons for this. First, it is affected by the foreign economic situation. In recent years, due to the rapid rise in the price of graphite, which has stimulated the international market, some countries have new graphite companies and produced a large number of graphite products. For example, Canada, Australia, Africa, India and other countries and regions have increased graphite production and exports. At the same time, Japan's graphite imports accounted for 32.6% of China's total exports. Japan imports a large amount of graphite raw materials from China, and the price is only a few thousand yuan. After purification, it is exported to China at a high price. Due to the Diaoyu Islands issue, the current export of China's graphite to Japan is also a factor in the reduction of graphite exports. Second, it is affected by the domestic economic situation and the industry itself. The domestic steel and automobile industries were greatly affected by the macroeconomic slowdown, and graphite was hit. In addition, the graphite industry also has internal concerns that the total output is too large and the production and sales are not balanced. In recent years, there have been several cases in which the graphite market is in a very good situation, the supply of products is in short supply, and the efficiency of enterprises has increased, but they have all been reversed due to the rapid increase in production. For example, graphite of -195 specification, the price reached 3,600 yuan in 1990, the situation is good. However, by 2002, the output began to decline due to excessive production. The situation resumed in 2004, and another round of production surges in 2005. So fluctuating several times, the price fell again in the second half of 2011, from 6,000 yuan to 3,000 yuan now, the transaction is scarce. The repeated fluctuations of these times are mainly due to the excessive total output of the industry and the imbalance between production and sales. The boom cycle of graphite is generally three or four years. Although the industry association has done a lot of work, the effect is limited. The business philosophy of individual companies is “everyone is together, everyone is togetherâ€, which seriously affects the industry's advantages and healthy development. The former Secretary General of China Graphite Industry Association, Qi Zhixiang, said that the graphite market is indeed in a downturn, and some enterprises in Heilongjiang Luobei, Jixi and Inner Mongolia will stop production, indicating that the off-season of the graphite industry has arrived. Normally, general graphite companies resume production in January. However, if the time to resume production next year is pushed back two months, and the economic situation at home and abroad will improve, the price of graphite will slowly recover. If there is too much backlog of graphite companies in the near future, and the disorderly competition as in the past will cause the graphite market to continue to decline. Therefore, Zhai Zhixiang suggested that in the recent downturn in the graphite market, industry colleagues should calm down and analyze the next transformation problems and implementation methods of access conditions to explore how the graphite industry can do what and how to adapt to the current situation. He pointed out that the domestic graphite industry cannot sing each family's play and knock each drum. If you are engaged in deep processing, you must make reasonable arrangements. For the graphite industry to develop rapidly, limiting production is a top priority. However, each family is reluctant to take the lead in implementation, fearing that they will limit production, and the market will be taken over by others. If a rule is formulated and everyone can implement it, it will have a good effect. Han Yufeng, president of Heilongjiang Graphite Industry Association, also pointed out that the graphite market is now declining, the company's inventory is increasing, the efficiency is declining, and the market is chaotic. The biggest problem at present is that the production capacity is too large and the actual demand in the market is shrinking. Therefore, she suggested that the state carry out macroeconomic regulation and control, take measures to limit production, ensure mine science, protective mining, maintain market order, and support the extension of the deep processing industry chain. Han Yufeng proposed several specific practices. First, regardless of the size of the enterprise, how much the market sells, and how effective it is, participate in the work of limiting the production volume in the graphite industry. Second, according to the needs of the graphite market at home and abroad, determine the annual total production of the graphite industry in China, and then distribute it to each graphite production enterprise according to a certain proportion. The third is that enterprises must be produced according to the orders and assigned indicators, and must not be produced without reason. Fourth, based on the current real output, a standard is set up so that the company can comply with the implementation, such as reducing the total production to 20% to 30%. The fifth is to set up a group to supervise the implementation, limit production, and ensure the rapid development of deep processing enterprises.