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China's machinery industry is expected to grow 18% in 2012 in the first quarter or now
At the economic situation operation analysis meeting held by the Expert Committee of China Machinery Industry Federation at the beginning of the year, the participating experts believed that the economic operation speed of the machinery industry will moderately decline under the stable tone this year. The first quarter will be the low point of the whole year, and the second quarter will start to slow down. Looking back, it is still expected to continue to achieve double-digit growth throughout the year. Cai Weici, executive vice president of China Mobile, summed up the current development trend of the machinery industry in three sentences: Looking back on last year, the achievements are hard-won; looking forward to this year, the challenges are more severe; the initiative is responsive, and the progress is stable. Cai Weici made a preliminary forecast for the development of machinery industry this year: production and sales increased by about 18%, profit increased by about 12%, and export growth rate was around 15%. Production and sales of stable growth of key components tend to localization In 2011, the machinery industry still achieved double-digit growth in production and sales, but compared with the rapid growth of the previous decade, the growth rate of major economic indicators of the machinery industry fell across the board last year, highlighting the industry's accelerated structural upgrades. Urgency. According to statistics, in 2011, the machinery industry realized a total industrial output value of 16.89 trillion yuan, an increase of 25.06%; the total import and export volume reached 631.2 billion US dollars, an increase of 22.84%. From the operating characteristics of major industries, the output of CNC machine tools was 257,100 units, and the output of power generation equipment was 140 million kilowatts, both hitting record highs. At the same time, the structural adjustment of the machinery industry has made positive progress, and the pace of upgrading products to the high-end has accelerated. In 2011, clean energy equipment represented by hydropower, nuclear power and wind power accelerated development, and the proportion of total output of power generation equipment increased by 2 percentage points over the previous year. The localization of key components has begun. Independent innovations in key infrastructure components and materials such as high-end hydraulic components, high-performance pressure sensors, graphite seals for nuclear power plants, ultra-high-voltage insulating bushings, non-oriented silicon steel sheets for large generators, and tear-resistant steel sheets have achieved a series of successes. Progress. This year's "before low and flat" industry is reducing costs and increasing efficiency Cai Weici pointed out that last year's industry-wide production and sales and profits achieved double-digit growth, largely based on the first quarter of last year and the year-on-year growth. Although the trend of the machinery industry in the second half of last year has generally stabilized, some sub-sectors have rapidly declined. The central government has already determined the general policy of “stable progressâ€, the macroeconomic environment is expected to gradually pick up, and the structural adjustment of the machinery industry itself will also Continue to make new progress in meeting various serious challenges. In summary, it is expected that the growth rate of major economic indicators of the machinery industry this year will not be as low as 2011, but it will not be excessively declining, or even a “hard landingâ€. The growth curve of major economic indicators will be low and flat at the end of the first quarter. Or it may reach the low point of this round in the second quarter, and then the growth rate will stabilize again. Cai Weici said that in this year, the whole industry must change its development mode more consciously, respond more actively to changes in the development environment of the industry, and effectively promote the industrial restructuring of the machinery industry. Cai Weici suggested that the machinery industry should take the initiative to respond. This kind of response is not temporary, but a long-term strategic response. It is necessary to increase the intensity of attacking high-end and sturdy foundations, and to promote energy reduction, integration and integration. This synergy.