Viscometer Market Review and Market Analysis

First, the viscose market review viscose staple fiber market sales slightly improved last week, heard the downstream yarn manufacturers began joint procurement, large single-increased conditions, but the specific transaction price is not yet clear, it is reported that the downstream spinning mill The psychologically-accepted price is 23,000 yuan/ton, and the lowest intention of the mill is 24,000 yuan/ton, and the actual transaction is mainly based on negotiation results. At present, the prices quoted by major manufacturers in the viscose market are stable at 1.5D to 25500-26,000 yuan/ton, but the actual transaction is different according to the payment method, which is generally 25,000 yuan/ton, which is nearly 2,000 yuan lower than last week. .

Due to the market's concern about the upcoming annual meeting of the viscose staple fiber industry, on Friday, the actual transaction prices of various manufacturers have resisted, and the prices below 25,000 won't take orders. As the price of viscose staple fiber has been declining recently, it is tentatively estimated that this year's meeting will reach a policy of limiting production and insuring price, and the initial price is estimated to be 25,000 yuan/ton.

In addition, last week's viscose staple fiber market shipments were reversed last week, but the production and sales rate remained at 50%, and the chemical fiber plant's viscose stock was already as high as 150,000 tons. . However, according to viscose staple fiber production experience in previous years, viscose staple fiber manufacturers are mostly wet storage New Year, suffered the first "winter" effect, the current shipment is also a concern for viscose manufacturers a topic, Whether the manufacturers will make a lot of profit for the sake of shipping also makes the market more worried.

Second, the upstream raw material product market performance At present, the cotton linters market is sluggish, the acquisition situation is relatively sluggish, low-cost short piles have emerged, the current price of filament pulp used in the mainstream of the two velvet market fell to 13,000 yuan / ton, short wire The price of cotton linter fell to around 12,000 yuan/ton, while the low-end price was only around 10,000 yuan/ton. The low-cost short cashmere of 8,000 yuan was also heard, and the quality of the market was uneven. Oil plants and traders have a strong willingness to ship, and the market outlook has been bearish.

At the pulp conference held in Zhengzhou on Tuesday morning, the participating companies based on the high production costs and the current situation of supply and demand contradiction, the new moon guide price was set at 20,500 yuan. Last week, the operating rate of cotton pulp companies was still insufficient, and actual transactions were few. Many manufacturers did not get enough due to **, coupled with the high cost of cotton linters and weak market demand, several of its factories are now completely shut down.

Foreign dissolving pulp manufacturers and import middlemen are optimistic about the pulp market next year. In 2011 will surely slow down the rhythm of sales, give priority to meet the foreign high-priced dissolving pulp market supply, and expect the price to rise to 2700-3000 US dollars / ton (equivalent to domestic to factory price 21300-24000 yuan / ton), will be moderately heavy sales Maximize benefits.

The price of imported pulp pulp ** was heard last week to 2100 USD, spot price was around 1800-19000 Yuan/ton, and vice price was 16500-17000 Yuan. Due to severe oversales in 2010, there was no slurry available for sale before March 2011. At present, due to the relatively low market price of wood pulp, many manufacturers have started to increase the proportion of wood pulp in viscose production.

Third, the downstream market performance of cotton yarn from the cotton yarn market orders, the market turnover is relatively low, the average daily volume decreased significantly. In order to speed up shipments, the cotton yarn companies have released inventory and have reduced their prices. Shandong Lanyin 10S cotton spinning yarn was sent to Jiangsu and Zhejiang for RMB 28,500/tonne, 30S cotton spinning yarn was quoted at RMB 30,000/ton, and 50S cotton woven spinning yarn was quoted at RMB 40,000. Tons, 60S man-cotton siro weaving yarn quoted at 42,000 yuan / ton. The Xiaoshao area burst a large number of low-cost people cotton yarn, the current 30S cotton knitted yarn does not tie knot Xiao Shao area manufacturers to maintain at 30,000 yuan / ton, traders offer at 29,500 yuan / ton, heard the lowest transaction price To 28,000 yuan / ton, no significant improvement in actual shipments.

Fourth, the market outlook analysis The current ups and downs are still difficult to change the status quo is still difficult to change, although the industry association is about to be held, but the market price is difficult to return to high, the loss is still an indisputable fact. In addition, according to the inventory situation of viscose manufacturers, the current inventory of viscose staple fiber (including Xinjiang) is about 150,000 tons, which is equivalent to the inventory of viscose manufacturers in January, while some circular machine manufacturers in Changshu have now ceased operation. Holidays, coupled with years ago this textile off-season, the market demand is not high, in addition, the weakness of the cotton market also to weak the viscose staple fiber status, coupled with many mills in Fujian and other places also began to buy viscose, big single Measures With the low price strategy of viscose manufacturers and the influence of multiple factors such as the off-season market, viscose staple fiber staple fiber is expected to be difficult to shake off in a short period of time.