How to start a new year in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”

The "Decision of the State Council on Accelerating the Cultivation and Development of Strategic Emerging Industries" proposes that China plans to use 20 years to bring the overall innovation capability and industrial development level of the seven strategic emerging industries such as energy conservation and environmental protection and new generation information technology to the world's advanced level. Provide strong support for sustainable economic and social development. In 2011, as the first year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”, how to lay the foundation for strategic emerging industries has become the focus of attention from all walks of life.

New energy industry: year of change in the pattern
Under the favorable policies and the domestic and international markets, the domestic new energy industry can be described as “hot” in 2010. However, in 2011, the situation of “hundred flowers” ​​will be adjusted. The industry predicts that in 2011, the development speed of China's wind energy and photovoltaic industry will slow down, and nuclear energy construction will obviously accelerate.

In terms of wind energy, after more than 100% annual market expansion during the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan” period, the wind power market in 2010 ushered in a clear turning point. According to statistics, the new installed capacity of China's wind power in 2010 will increase by 50%, while the growth rate in 2011-2012 will slightly slow down to 30%.

As for the photovoltaic industry, China has experienced rapid growth in the past two years. In 2010, China's PV production is expected to reach 8GW (1GW=1000MW), accounting for 50% of global production. However, as the domestic production capacity continues to expand, it is the saturation of the European market. Therefore, industry insiders expect that the shrinking of overseas markets will force demanders to invest more orders in photovoltaic companies with stronger comprehensive strength. In 2011, domestic PV companies will present a stronger market structure of “strong fish swallowing shrimps”. .

In terms of nuclear energy, industry experts predict that 2011 is the year of rapid expansion. According to China's Medium- and Long-Term Development Plan for Nuclear Power, China's nuclear power development target will reach 80 million kilowatts of installed nuclear power by 2020, which means that by 2015, China's installed capacity will exceed 15 million kilowatts, taking into account the construction period of nuclear power plants. It is 4-5 years old, so to achieve this goal, we must start to achieve sufficient nuclear power starts from 2011. Therefore, industry experts have said that under the stimulation of new energy policies, the construction of domestic nuclear power plants in 2011 will be in full swing.

High-end equipment manufacturing: moving towards the "intelligence" year
On the first day of the opening of the capital market in 2011, China South Locomotive and China CNR joined the daily limit; the next day, CSIC's strong daily limit, China Nuclear Technology joined hands with Wal-Mart, and the first week of the A-share transaction in 2011, high-end equipment Hotspots in the manufacturing industry have emerged, and the concept sectors such as high-speed rail, nuclear power and aircraft carrier shipbuilding are strong.

As a strategic industry of the country, the equipment manufacturing industry is the foundation and core competitiveness of China's manufacturing industry. At present, although China's equipment self-sufficiency rate has reached 85%, high-end equipment still relies mainly on imports. Industry insiders predict that with the high-end equipment manufacturing industry being designated as one of the seven strategic emerging industries, its position in the national economy will be unprecedented. improve. In addition, the domestic demand in the process of urbanization and economic transformation in the process of China's economic development has also opened up a broad space for the development of high-end equipment manufacturing. Driven by many favorable factors, the high-end equipment manufacturing industry will undoubtedly accelerate in the first year of the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan”.

As far as the current comprehensive situation is concerned, as a high-end manufacturing representative and a strategically important aerospace industry, it will enjoy more policy tilt in the future; in addition, the high-speed rail will undoubtedly be a well-deserved star in its development. On January 4th, the National Railway Work Conference uploaded a message. In 2011, the national railway arrangement capital investment reached 700 billion yuan, and 70 new construction projects were arranged. The Beijing-Shanghai high-speed railway will be opened to traffic in June this year. Network, operating mileage will exceed 13,000 kilometers. According to the calculation of the existing planned railways, the high-speed railways opened before 2010 only accounted for 17% of the current high-speed railway planning length, and the proportion of high-speed railways completed and put into operation during 2010-2014 will reach 57%. There is no doubt that China's manufacturing industry will make great strides in this era of "intellectual creation" from this year.

New Energy Vehicles: Year of Technology
It’s no longer a good idea to use the “one night pear blossom” to describe the new energy auto industry that has suddenly exploded in recent years. What is even more exciting is that the 12th Five-Year Plan still lists it as a strategic emerging industry and will continue to give double support to the industry's funds and policies.

Some experts predict that 2011 will be the beginning of the substantial development of new energy vehicles. The reason is that since January 1, 2011, the Ministry of Finance and the State Administration of Taxation have decided to levy a 10% tax rate on the purchase tax of passenger cars with a displacement of 1.6 liters or less. At the same time, the auto subsidy policy for the countryside and the car was completed on December 31, 2010, and this preferential policy will not be extended. However, it is worth noting that in 2011, the state will continue to support the promotion of energy-saving and new energy vehicles in the form of financial subsidies.

Of course, China's new energy auto industry still faces bottlenecks such as lack of supporting facilities, unresolved core technologies, and high prices. Therefore, whether it is BYD supported by Warren Buffett, it is still the first to be strong in Beiqi, Geely and Chery, or The "national team" central enterprise alliance is temporarily unable to open the road to commercialization. Before these problems are solved, the new energy automobile industry is still difficult to compete with the traditional automobile industry.

According to the research and analysis report of most organizations, in the context of the increasingly scarce international energy, the country will continue to issue preferential policies in the next five years, and new energy vehicles will usher in major development.

In any case, for new energy vehicles, in 2011, we will continue to cultivate the consumer market and continue to overcome the battery technology bottleneck.

Energy saving and environmental protection: strategic transformation year
The "Decision of the State Council on Accelerating the Cultivation and Development of Strategic Emerging Industries" ranked the energy conservation and environmental protection industry as the top of the seven emerging industries. According to the data released by the National Development and Reform Commission website, the environmental protection industry will maintain an average annual growth rate of 15%-20% in the future. During the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan” period, the energy-saving and environmental protection industry will be a strategic emerging industry, and the investment demand will reach 3 trillion yuan, more than double the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan”, and gradually form the world's largest energy-saving and environmental protection industry. Industry experts generally believe that energy conservation and environmental protection opportunities are unprecedented. In the next 3-5 years, there may even be a hot scene of replacing the new energy industry supported by the “Eleventh Five-Year Plan”.

Energy conservation mainly refers to industrial energy conservation and building energy conservation. Environmental protection is mainly sewage treatment, solid waste treatment, desulfurization, denitrification and dust removal. Throughout China's energy-saving and environmental protection industry, it is being upgraded from a single-link competition to “full-industry chain competition”. At the same time, enterprises will transform from a project-oriented profit model to an industry chain-oriented profit model.

Some people think that if energy conservation and environmental protection are the core of the “12th Five-Year Plan”, the “energy-saving service” is the nuclear core, and the contract energy management company (EMC model), a new energy-saving service business model, has changed. The main body of the traditional energy-saving model is not clear, and the shortcomings of the company's power are insufficient, and the future will benefit from the energy-saving tide. In addition, industrial energy conservation is the area with the greatest potential for energy conservation, and building energy efficiency will be the future development trend.

Information Technology: Three-network integration year
In 2011, for the new generation of information technology industry, it is the best direction for policy and technology. It is understood that the "new generation information industry" will focus on the next generation of communication networks, Internet of Things, triple play, new flat panel display, high performance integrated circuits and high-end software.

Among them, 3G, triple play, Internet of Things, etc., which have received more attention in the near future. From the perspective of triple play, 2011 will be a key year for completing the network integration of cable networks, cross-regional mergers and acquisitions, and large-scale promotion of three networks to integrate new services. It is understood that at present, only 14 provinces and cities in the country have completed the integration of wired networks, and the cable networks in counties and townships are still not integrated. The remaining 17 provinces and cities have integrated urban cable networks, with the integration of wired networks. With the advancement, the number of subscribers of cable network operators will grow exponentially in 2011.

In terms of 3G, its development speed has not reached the expected level. Although 2009 is the first year of China's 3G development, as of mid-2010, the total number of 3G users in China is about 25.2 million. At this speed, it is necessary to complete the eight ministries and commissions such as the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology. In the "Opinions on Promoting the Construction of the Third Generation Mobile Communication Network", it is unlikely that the target of 3G users in China will reach 150 million in 2011. It can be seen that in 2011, 3G is very likely to usher in a period of rapid development.
 

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