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However, due to the lack of momentum in the recovery of the world economy, many deep-seated contradictions and problems have yet to be resolved. Coupled with the impact of the European sovereign debt crisis, the US economy is weak and the uncertainty of economic development is increasing. At the same time, the supply and demand of resource products in the international market are still tight, some raw material prices may rise, and the expectation of RMB exchange rate appreciation and the increase of labor costs in China will all increase the export cost of machine tools. What needs to be taken seriously is that in the economic downturn, trade protectionism in various countries will continue to occur. These will have an impact on the expansion of China's machine tool industry.
The main objectives of the Fifth Plenary Session of the Seventeenth Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on the economic and social development of the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" pointed out that "the economy should develop steadily and rapidly", "the strategic adjustment of the economic structure has made significant progress", and "the income of urban and rural residents is generally faster." increase". The machine tool industry is facing an important task of adjusting the economic structure and transforming the development mode. It is necessary to vigorously develop new strategic industries, develop high-end CNC machine tools and their functional components, automated complete production lines, and intelligent control systems. With the adjustment of industrial structure, the product structure is gradually optimized, and the import and export structure of machine tools will also change.
Based on the above analysis, it is expected that the import and export of machine tool industry will continue to grow in 2011, and the structure of import and export products will be improved. On the import side, the proportion of imports of heavy-duty machine tools and expensive machine tools may continue to decline, and the import of key components required for domestic enterprises to develop high-end machine tools and large-duty machine tools will increase.
In terms of exports, in addition to a small number of high-end and heavy-duty machine tools, there may be breakthroughs to enter the international market; medium and low-end CNC machine tools, high-quality ordinary machine tools suitable for users' needs, as well as metal cutting tools and abrasive tools, forging and stamping tools, machine tool accessories Wait, it will still be welcomed by the international market and users.
The development of the machine tool industry mainly relies on the fixed assets investment of the machinery industry (the required equipment is mainly machine tools) and the export pull. It is estimated that the growth rate of fixed assets investment in China's machinery industry in 2011 will not increase by about 40% in previous years (from January to September 2010, fixed assets investment in machinery industry was 1.34 trillion yuan, up 30.35% year-on-year). It has become an important aspect of driving the development of the industry. To this end: adapt to changes in international market demand, adjust and optimize the structure of export products; open up potential markets, attach importance to the impact of the European sovereign debt crisis and the US quantitative easing monetary policy; actively respond to the impact of importing machine tools from Taiwan, improve competitiveness; For the analysis of imported equipment, select products with large import volume for research and development; avoid exchange rate risks and promote RMB settlement.
In 2011, China's machine tool industry import and export will continue to grow
In 2011, the world economy will be in the recovery phase after the financial crisis, and the economic growth rate will gradually recover. According to the International Monetary Fund, the GDP of developed economies will increase by about 2.4% in 2011, and the GDP of developing countries will increase by about 6.6%. It is expected that the demand in the international market will increase, especially in China and emerging and developing countries. In the area of ​​economic and technological cooperation, the six countries of ASEAN have established free trade zones and signed free trade zone agreements with Chile, Peru, Singapore and other countries. Therefore, the international economic environment in 2011 is conducive to the steady and rapid development of China's machine tool industry.