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According to the statistics of the General Administration of Customs, in September, China exported 68.54 billion US dollars of mechanical and electrical products, a sharp drop in the year-on-year decline to 12.6%, far better than the decline of more than 20% in January-August.
This change was confirmed at the 106th Canton Fair, which opened on October 15.
Liu Guizhong, general manager of Galanz Group's overseas development department, told reporters on October 15 that the company's orders have already rebounded. It is expected that the export growth rate will exceed 80% in the fourth quarter of this year, completely reversing the 25% decline in the first half of the year.
As the largest category of Chinese exports, the trend of export of mechanical and electrical products has been closely concerned by decision-makers.
The China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronic Industry said that on the eve of the Canton Fair, the Ministry of Commerce had convened a chamber of commerce to discuss the scope of the investigation in the current Canton Fair and form a written report after the meeting.
Mechanical and electrical products export uneven heat and cold
The Electrical and Mechanical Industry Association's January-August this year, the import and export analysis report of mechanical and electrical products shows that since June, the decline in the export of mechanical and electrical products has begun to slow down. The export declines in the three months from June to August were 17.8%, 17.4% and 19.1 respectively. %, obviously better than the average of more than 20% decline in the previous five months; "the monthly export value has been more than 60 billion US dollars for two consecutive months, and signs of recovery in international demand have emerged."
In fact, from the perspective of this year's export structure, the export data of mechanical and electrical products has been significantly inferior to labor-intensive products. The decline in exports of furniture, shoes, bags and other products has narrowed to a single digit, while the mechanical and electrical exports have declined until In June, it barely narrowed to less than 20%.
The analysis report of the above-mentioned Electrical and Mechanical Chamber of Commerce also pointed out that the recovery of various types of mechanical and electrical products was not consistent.
Yao Wenping, vice president of the China Chamber of Commerce for Import and Export of Machinery and Electronics, said on October 14 that exports of ships, communications equipment and some home appliances were in good condition, while exports of other home appliances such as power tools and color TVs remained sluggish.
The above analysis report said that the export data from January to August showed that the export performance of machinery products was quite different. Among them, ships and parts ($18.38 billion) have continued the high growth since the beginning of the year, with a growth of 40%. Thanks to the early orders in hand."
The export of other machinery categories is still not satisfactory, with mechanical base parts, automobiles and parts, lifting and construction machinery falling by more than 20%, and container exports falling by 82%.
The export of electronic and electrical products is also facing differentiation. The situation of notebook computers and communication equipment is significantly better than that of home appliances such as air conditioners.
Order rebound price does not rise
The person in charge of Haier Group's refrigerator outside the sea introduced on October 15 that due to the impact of the financial crisis, Haier's refrigerator exports from January to September decreased by about 10% year-on-year. The original target of 30% growth is far from reach. The group has been Maintain an export growth of around 20% per year.
However, the situation has changed since September, and the negotiations on the first day of the Canton Fair are better than expected. The above-mentioned Haier Group said that the atmosphere of the first two extremely intense negotiations has been significantly eased. "There are more buyers at the scene, and the number of customers who are willing to sit down and talk about it has increased significantly."
He said that the negative growth of the Group's refrigerator exports has ended in September, and the export situation in the fourth quarter is expected to continue to improve.
This change is not a case.
Liu Guizhong said that Galanz's home appliance exports in the first and second quarters of this year fell by about 25% year-on-year. The situation in the third quarter improved. In September, the growth rate of air conditioners and microwave ovens generally exceeded 60%, and the export in the third quarter was basically the same. It was flat with the same period last year.
Judging from the current orders, Galanz's export growth in the fourth quarter will exceed 80%. Liu Guizhong said, "The recovery of overseas demand is the main driving force."
However, the export prices of mechanical and electrical products have not changed.
Liu Guizhong expects that the export transaction price of this session of the Canton Fair will be lower than the previous two sessions. Since the end of last year, the government has raised the tax rebate rate for export commodities several times. The tax rebate rate for home appliances has increased by 3-4 percentage points. This positive benefit has been basically digested by lowering the price. In addition, the reduction of raw material costs and the stability of the RMB exchange rate have made the company's external quotation slightly lower than previous years.
In fact, after the financial tsunami, the current situation of low-end consumer goods is also forcing companies to adjust their product mix. Liu Guizhong said that the proportion of low-end products is higher than in the past, and the overall export price has also dropped.
Changes in electromechanical exports have attracted the attention of the Ministry of Commerce. Recently, the Ministry of Commerce will also convene large exporters to conduct regular seminars and surveys to find out the export situation. Among these enterprises, electromechanical exporters will still occupy a considerable proportion.
According to the person from the Organic Chamber of Commerce, the recent improvement in the export situation exceeded the expectations of the Chamber of Commerce. "We have revised our forecast for the annual export data." At the beginning of this year, the Chamber of Commerce had expected the annual decline in exports to be estimated at around 25%, but from 9 Judging from the export situation of the month, the annual decline in electromechanical exports is expected to be controlled within 20%.
Mechanical and electrical products exports significantly rebounded orders increased prices did not rise
Electrical and mechanical exports are showing significant improvement.