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First, capacity utilization continues to be high. Since 2011, the daily average output of crude steel has been continuously set. The average daily output of crude steel reached 1.94 million tons in the first half of the year. In June, the daily output reached an all-time high of 1,997,600 tons, and the annual crude steel output was close to 730 million tons. The capacity utilization rate has also continuously hit new highs. Second, downstream demand is blocked. At the same time that steel companies are producing at full capacity and high capacity utilization, downstream demand has not improved. From the PMI indicator, in addition to the seasonal rebound in March, the indicator fell in other months of the first half of the year. In the PMI sub-index, the downward trend of PMI raw material inventory is in sharp contrast with the rising trend of PMI finished goods inventory. Both PMI and its sub-indices show that companies are cautious about future demand conditions. As far as the steel downstream industry is concerned, due to various factors such as policies and oil prices, the growth rate of automobile production and sales is declining, and the demand for sheet metal is suppressed. Real estate also accumulates a large amount of stocks in policy regulation, and development investment and new housing starts. The area showed a year-on-year growth rate. Third, the upstream cost pressure is not reduced. For China's steel companies, iron ore is one of the real problems that they have to face. China's steel production is huge, but for a variety of reasons, important production materials are subject to people, and profit margins are repeatedly eroded. Following the more short-term model of monthly pricing of iron ore pricing, recently, the three major international miners have successively raised the price of iron ore. How to effectively alleviate the pressure of upstream costs will become a problem that Chinese steel companies must face and think about. Fourth, the industry's low profit situation has not changed. According to the latest data of China Steel Association, the total profit of 80 large and medium-sized steel enterprises from January to May 2011 was 42.8 billion yuan, down 2% year-on-year; the profit margin of product sales was 2.91%, down 0.67% year-on-year. According to the National Development and Reform Commission, from January to May, the national steel industry realized a profit of 120.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.4%, and the growth rate dropped sharply. In the environment of high upstream costs and sluggish downstream demand, the steel industry's low profit situation still shows no signs of improvement. The characteristics of the above-mentioned industries are basically always existed, but they also have new performances under the new situation, and also set new challenges to the development of the industry. In the third quarter, affected by the southern rainy season and hot weather, construction projects decreased and steel demand fell. Under the supply and demand pattern of high supply and weak demand, the probability of steel price volatility is increasing. At the same time, the basic orientation of the state's macroeconomic regulation and control remains unchanged, and the overall level of stable prices continues to be the primary task of macroeconomic regulation and control. In the second half of the year, China adhered to a sound monetary policy and maintained a reasonable growth in the total amount of social financing. It is expected that the corporate funds will remain tight. Therefore, how to maintain corporate profits in the off-season of the steel industry in the third quarter is a problem that all steel companies need to solve in the short term. In the medium and long term, gradually stepping out of the industry's meager dilemma and enhancing the competitiveness of the industry until the sustainable and healthy development of the industry is the direction for all enterprises and the industry to work together. Eliminating backward production capacity and increasing industry concentration are a key measure to promote the healthy development of the industry. Recently, the policies and attitudes of relevant departments have also demonstrated the determination to accelerate the structural adjustment of the steel industry. Aiming at the future development of the iron ore market upstream of steel, establishing a strategic guarantee system for iron ore resources and increasing the exploration and development of iron ore resources in the western region is also a focus of work for the steel industry in the future.
The transformation and upgrading of the steel industry will take a new step
In the first half of 2011, the domestic steel industry operated relatively smoothly, and there was no ups and downs in the development process, but there were also some features worthy of our consideration.