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Nine major factors see the price of domestic titanium dioxide market reverse
According to industry analysts, in the domestic market, the sulphuric acid method rutile titanium dioxide, for example, the November titanium dioxide market rose against the trend, the average price at the beginning of the month was 14,035 yuan / ton, the average price at the end of the month was 14,785 yuan / ton ( Both include tax), an increase of 5.34%. At present, the mainstream price of most sulphuric acid rutile and anatase titanium dioxide in China is 13500-14800 yuan / ton and 11500-12500 yuan / ton (both tax included).
On November 30th, the commodity index of titanium dioxide (sulfur. gold. factory) was 70.19, which was 0.12 points higher than yesterday, which was 29.81% lower than the highest point in the cycle (2011-09-04), compared with December 29, 2015. The lowest point of the day was 51.68 points, which was 35.82%. (Note: Period refers to 2011-09-01 to date)
According to the overall situation and price trend of the titanium dioxide market, the analysts of the chemical industry titanium dioxide products analysis are as follows:
1, "Dragon ä½°" fit, and then rise thousands of dollars
After the "Long Yao" fit on October 28, the effect was obvious. On November 2, Sichuan Longjing and Yulilian announced a rise of 1,000 yuan/ton, and Sichuan Longjing had the largest increase of 11700 yuan/ton in 11 times. Then the market once again set off the strongest price increase in November, and producers in Henan, Sichuan, Shandong, Anhui, Yunnan, Guangxi and other regions followed suit, with an increase of 500-1000 yuan/ton. Other producers increased their prices more frequently. Between 11-13 times. 2016 is only one and a half months away from the rising market. According to the current market situation, Lido “pass customs clearance†should not be a problem. At present, some downstream enterprises have realized the situation and trend, and have begun to have a gradual stocking behavior. The increase in export volume is also driven by limited production between producers. The “shifting†effect has gradually emerged. Traders are reluctant to sell goods, and the actual market turnover is mostly to consolidate the previous price increase.
2, the sharp titanium frequency rises, the momentum exceeds the rutile
In the middle and late November, producers of anatase titanium dioxide frequently increased their prices. In the Guangxi region, producers rose nearly 2,000 yuan/ton three times at the beginning, mid-month and end of the month, mainly due to the relatively weak market in the early-stage anatase market. After falling off, there are producers converting crude products, and the environmental protection in the region is tightened, the production capacity cannot be released, the output of anatase is plummeting, and the price of rutile titanium dioxide is relatively high. The downstream enterprises with low quality requirements are retiring the anatase, so that the current sharp Titanium-titanium dioxide stocks are tight, and prices have risen in succession.
3, Trump came to power or favored titanium dioxide exports to the United States
Donald Trump was elected the 45th president of the United States, and he only did things that were economically immediate. Hillary is essentially a politician. The economy under her governance must be subject to politics. But Trump's coming to power will definitely reduce the weight of politics and focus on the economy because he is a businessman himself. He is only good at the economy and not good at politics. In the place where it is not good at shrinking hands, it is in line with the characteristics of Americans. Trump is a very realistic person. He will do everything that allows the people to see the effect immediately. This means that some persistent research and development will be postponed, and it is likely that more money will be invested in real estate construction. Trump is a real estate agent, and is the best at this, so it is driven by real estate. Next, China's titanium dioxide exports to the United States may be beneficial for a long time.
4, titanium dioxide annual meeting to add industry benefits
By mid-November, the 2016 titanium dioxide industry annual meeting will be held in Guangxi Tengxian, and the anatase producers in Guangxi will collectively increase by 500-800 yuan/ton. This increase or due to the horizontal consensus among enterprises, does not rule out In December, regional renewed profits, rutile titanium dioxide prices may be concentrated to a higher level, but need to maintain a certain price difference with domestic chlorination products.
5, titanium dioxide prices soared, why the spot is so nervous
In November, the market price of titanium dioxide can be said to be hot, mainly in the form of anatase. A few producers rose nearly 2,000 yuan/ton three times at the beginning, middle and end of the month, mainly due to tight supply, including rutile. That country has such a large output, where is the goods going? The analysis of titanium dioxide analyst Yang Xun believes that: 1. The production capacity of the producers will not be released. Pressures such as environmental protection, producers have limited production, low output, low inventory, producers in East China, Southwest China, South China and other regions where producers are concentrated are mostly single-line production; 2. Exports are good. From January to September 2016, the total output of titanium dioxide was 540,603,305 tons. It took only three quarters to achieve the export of 534,394,441 tons for the whole year of 2015, exceeding 0.22 million tons, an increase of 0.41%. In the past, the export rutile type accounted for Most of the fourth quarter anatase exports also rebounded, even if the export price is slightly lower than the domestic trade price, but the producers still give priority to export goods; 3, dealers and downstream stocking. Dealers and downstream face numbness in the face of frequent price increases, originally thought to be bluffing, see the real increase of more stocking psychology, coupled with the end of the year, the storage of stocks to wait for the increase.
6, high logistics costs or into titanium dioxide continue to explore the subject
The spot supply of titanium dioxide accelerated the price increase, and the price of superimposed raw material titanium concentrate (46 grade 10 mine in Panxi area) soared to around 1,100 yuan / ton (excluding tax); the cost of steam transportation logistics increased (due to the increase in automobile logistics, Many railway transportations have been changed, and the pressure on railway transportation has increased sharply. The “iron boss†has risen to follow the trend. The consensus of large enterprises and the regional consensus is obvious. The above-mentioned factors have prompted the fourth quarter of the titanium dioxide price market to be derailed by “Lin Danâ€. "It's still lively.
7. Panzhihua Iron and Steel Corporation Chongqing Titanium Chloride Titanium Dioxide Project officially put into operation
Pangang's Chongqing Titanium Industry 100,000 tons of chlorinated titanium dioxide project was officially put into operation. The production line uses a low-cost raw material route. At present, there is a small amount of crude product output, and the molding products are quickly available.
8, CristalGlobal announced the price increase of titanium dioxide
CristalGlobal announced on November 23, 2016 that the price of all TiONA® and Tikon titanium dioxide (TiO2) products will be increased from January 1, 2017, or see contractual requirements. Latin America: $200/tonne increase; Eastern Europe and Western Europe, including Turkey: €200/tonne increase. Russia, CIS region raised by $150/ton; Middle East and Africa: raised by $150/ton; Asia-Pacific: raised by $150/ton.
9. China's titanium dioxide export decreased by 13.45% in October 2016.
According to the statistics provided by the General Administration of Customs, the import volume of titanium dioxide in China in October 2016 was 13028.908 tons, a year-on-year increase of 2.99%, a decrease of 11.83% from the previous month, and the average import price was about 2773.33 US dollars/ton. The top three import regions were Taiwan and the United States. Germany; from January to November 2016, the total import of titanium dioxide was 149,447.17 tons, a year-on-year decrease of 14.17%. In October 2016, China's titanium dioxide output was 54,617.244 tons, a year-on-year increase of 19.99%, a decrease of 13.45% from the previous month, and an average export price of approximately $1,831.45. Tons, the top three countries for export are India, the United States, and South Korea; the top three regions for export are Sichuan, Shandong, and Henan. The total export of titanium dioxide in January-October 2016 was 595,220.549 tons, a year-on-year increase of 34.34%.