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I. Import and export of China's machine tool industry
In 2013, the cumulative import and export volume of machine tools reached US$25.62 billion, down 12.9% year-on-year; of which exports were US$9.53 billion, up 3.2% year-on-year; imports were US$16.09 billion, down 20.2% year-on-year. The import and export deficit was US$6.56 billion, down 40.1% year-on-year.
1. Imports fell sharply
The cumulative import of machine tool products was US$16.09 billion, down 20.2% year-on-year.
The import of metal processing machine tools was US$10.10 billion, down 26.0% year-on-year. Among them, the import of CNC machine tools was 8.21 billion US dollars, down 26.5% year-on-year.
Among the metal processing machine tools, the import value of gold cutting machine tools was US$7.99 billion, down 28.4% year-on-year; the import of CNC gold cutting machine tools was US$7.03 billion, down 28.3% year-on-year. The import of forming machine tools was US$2.11 billion, down 15.5% year-on-year; the import of CNC forming machine tools was US$1.18 billion, down 13.9% year-on-year.
The sharp decline in imports was mainly due to the rapid growth of imports in successive years, which made various user industries accumulate various contradictions in improving production capacity and digesting high-end products. It needed a period of resolution, so the decline in imports in 2013 and 2009 was different. The turning point, it is expected that machine tool imports will not reproduce the long-term high-speed growth in history.
2. Export smooth fluctuations
Machine tool products exported US$9.53 billion in 2013, a year-on-year increase of 3.2%.
The export of metal processing machine tools was US$ 2.86 billion, up 4.4% year-on-year; the export of CNC machine tools was US$ 1.14 billion, up 5.8% year-on-year.
Among the metal processing machine tools, the export of gold cutting machine tools was 1.88 billion US dollars, up 1.3% year-on-year; of which, the export of CNC gold cutting machine tools was 920 million US dollars, up 3.2% year-on-year. The export of forming machine tools was 980 million US dollars, up 10.7% year-on-year; the export of CNC forming machine tools was 210 million US dollars, up 18.4% year-on-year.
In 2013, machine tool exports have been in a state of small fluctuations. It has a certain relationship with the lack of international machine tool demand, and has a greater relationship with the adaptability of most enterprises in China to the international market.
Second, the operation of China's machine tool industry
1. National Bureau of Statistics data
(1) The machine tool industry in the machine tool industry has achieved a total sales revenue of 802.63 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.7%.
The machine tool industry achieved a profit of 49.59 billion yuan, an increase of 8.8% year-on-year.
The accumulated fixed asset investment in this period increased by 21.2% year-on-year.
(2) Jinchee machine tool industry Jinzhi machine tool industry achieved product sales revenue of 150.26 billion yuan, an increase of 0.8%.
The profit of the gold cutting machine tool industry reached 5.30 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 990 million yuan, an increase of -23.1%.
The output of gold cutting machine tools was 725,851 units, of which the output of CNC machine tools reached 209,287 units, an increase of -1.5% and 2.4% respectively over the same period.
(3) The sales volume of the forming machine tool industry in the forming machine tool industry reached 75.52 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%.
The forming machine tool industry realized a profit of RMB 5 billion, an increase of RMB 470 million or 10.5% over the same period last year.
The output of forming machine tools was 233,438 units, an increase of 0.1% over the same period.
2. Focus on corporate data
(1) The total value of industrial enterprises with key enterprises reached 112.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of -4.5%. The sales revenue was 112.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of -13.8% (see Figure 1 for details); the profit was 3.99 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of -33.4%. 
(2) The gold cutting machine tool industry achieved a production value of 52.39 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of -11.7%, of which the output value of CNC metal cutting machine tools was 39.43 billion yuan, up by -13.8%; the sales revenue of gold cutting machine tool industry increased by -11.1%; profit The total amount increased by -80.0% year-on-year; the output of Jinqie machine tool increased by -14.2% year-on-year, of which CNC cutting output increased by -2.5% year-on-year.
(3) The output value of forming machine tools in the forming machine tool industry was 13.37 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of -0.6%, of which the output value of CNC forming machine tools was 7.13 billion yuan, up by -0.6% year-on-year; the sales revenue of forming machine tool products increased by 2.9%; the total profit increased by -1.8% year-on-year; Machine tool production increased by -8.1% year-on-year, of which CNC forming production increased by 3.8% year-on-year.
3. Annual production and consumption of metal processing machine tools The annual data released by the State Administration of Manpower and the experience of the machine tool industry are quite different. In order to more accurately reflect the main business situation of the industry, the association will contact the data of the key enterprises. As well as research on some enterprises, the basic judgment of the situation throughout the year is as follows:
(Unit: 100 million US dollars)
4. Industry operating characteristics
(1) Fixed assets investment decreased, and market demand declined overall.
In 2013, the sharp decline in machine tool imports signaled a reduction in fixed-asset investment and a general decline in market demand. The peak of investment in fixed assets in the user industry has passed, and equipment in some industries is temporarily in a relatively saturated state, and the growth rate of fixed asset investment has slowed down. Under the influence of the previous investment of 4 trillion yuan, the production scale of the machine tool industry has expanded significantly, and the contradiction between supply and demand has become more prominent. After the rapid development of the economy for a long period of time, the economic law requires a slowdown, which is reflected in the slowdown in demand structure, industrial structure and factor structure.
(2) The demand structure is continuously upgraded, and product quality is more valued.
The machine tool market demand is further tilted towards the high end. Import data shows that the average unit price of imported CNC machine tools in 2013 increased by 28.8% compared with the same period of last year.
What deserves attention is the rise of the robot market. It is also a trend for machine tool industry enterprises to enter the robot manufacturing field by using manufacturing advantages, but enterprises should avoid the phenomenon of a swarm of bees and form new overcapacity and waste of resources.
Market demand is diversified. Mid-range products and even low-end products also have market demand, and excellent product quality is a necessary condition for market share. The data shows that the economic benefits of enterprises that attach importance to manufacturing processes and pay attention to manufacturing details are rising against the trend. Even if they fall, the extent is much smaller than other companies.
(3) The contradiction of overcapacity is prominent, and vicious competition needs to be contained.
Overcapacity in the machine tool industry is very obvious, the number of enterprises increased by 20.4% compared with 2011; the output increased by 137.5% compared with 2011. Heavy-duty machine tools have the lowest capacity utilization rate, and their capacity utilization can be imagined when their revenues fall by 45% to 50% for two consecutive years. The capacity utilization rate of other products will be slightly higher, but the overall capacity utilization rate is too low.
Excessive production capacity has led to more intense market competition, and the phenomenon of homogenized production has further aggravated the emergence of vicious competition. If left unchecked, it will definitely threaten the industrial safety of the machine tool industry. Therefore, the whole industry must act and resolutely curb the signs of vicious competition.
(4) The profitability of enterprises has declined, and liquidity has become more tense.
The data shows that the profit margin of the product sales revenue of the key contact enterprises is 3.6%, and the profit margin of the Jinchee machine tool industry is only 0.7%. The decline in corporate profitability will directly affect the normal operation of enterprises and curb the virtuous circle of business operations.
According to the statistics of the National Bureau of Statistics, the inventory of finished products of the enterprise increased by 7.7% compared with the same period of 2012; the accounts receivable increased by 17.8% compared with the same period of 2013. In addition, the acceptance of the larger amount of the acceptance bill, the liquidity of the enterprise is even more tense. .
Despite the difficulties, most companies in the industry are calmly coping with it, making it difficult to overcome difficulties, and constantly innovating and reforming and restructuring. At the CCMT2014 exhibition in February, many companies launched new products to meet market demand, and new products represented by intelligence, specialization and precision emerged one after another. We believe that through the market's survival of the fittest, through the current difficult period, the machine tool industry will take a new step.
Third, the situation forecast in 2014
1. Macroeconomic situation In 2014, the world economy will continue its slow recovery, but there are also unstable and uncertain factors. The main tone of China's central economic work in 2014 is to strive for stability, but the downward pressure on economic operations still exists. Some industries have serious problems of overcapacity and structural contradictions have not been effectively alleviated.
2. Industry situation ( 1) The development of the machine tool industry is mainly driven by fixed asset investment. According to the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, it can be expected that the increase in fixed asset investment will not be large, and the rising momentum of the machine tool industry will be insufficient.
(2) Some of the key enterprises in the association had a 2.2% decrease in on-hand orders at the end of 2013; the number of exhibitors in CCMT2014 decreased by 40.9% compared with CCMT2012, of which the turnover of gold-cutting machine tools decreased by 45.6%, and the turnover of CNC machine tools decreased by 41.3%. It reflects that the situation in the first half of 2014 will not be significantly improved.
3. Conclusion
As can be seen from Figure 1, after the product sales revenue declined in 2012, it continued to decline in 2013, but the fluctuation in the second half was only within 0.9 percentage points. 
Figure 2 shows that the orders in hand have been negative for the second consecutive month, although the decline at the end of 2013 was only 2.2%, but for two years of negative growth, the company's on-hand orders are not much. Therefore, the machine tool industry has not yet got rid of the predicament, and is still in the downward channel, but the trend is slowing down.
Through the above analysis, it can be concluded that the situation in the first half of 2014 will not be significantly improved. It is expected to improve in the second half of the year, but there will still be a certain decline in 2013 compared to 2013. Even if it is optimistic, it will only be the same as in 2013.
Analysis of economic operation of machine tool industry in 2013
Abstract In 2013, China's machine tool market continued to be sluggish, with Jinchee machine tools being the most obvious and imported machine tools also showing a sharp decline. In the fierce market competition, the contradiction between industry structure, product structure and market demand is more prominent, and the demand for low-end products is significantly reduced. International market continues...
In 2013, China's machine tool market continued to be sluggish, with Jinchee machine tools being the most obvious and imported machine tools also showing a sharp decline. In the fierce market competition, the contradiction between industry structure, product structure and market demand is more prominent, and the demand for low-end products is significantly reduced. The international market continued to show different degrees of recovery. The export of machine tool products in China fluctuated slightly and achieved low growth throughout the year. Figure 2: 2012-2013 part of the key enterprises in the contact orders monthly growth trend